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Books:
- (Editor, with Mariam Thalos) Probability is the Very
Guide of Life, Open Court, 2002.
- (With Choh Man Teng) Uncertain Inference, Cambridge
University Press, 2001 Typos
and Corrections
- Science and Reason, Oxford University Press, Oxford,
1990.
- (Editor, with Greg Carlson and Ronald Loui) Knowledge
Representation and Defeasible Reasoning, Kluwer, Dordrecht,
1990.
- Theory and Measurement, Cambridge University Press,
Cambridge, 1984.
- Epistemology and Inference, University of Minnesota
Press, Minneapolis, 1983.
- (Editor, with Peter Asquith) Current Research in the
Philosophy of Science, Philosophy of Science Association,
East Lansing, 1979.
- The Logical Foundations of Statistical Inference,
Reidel, Dordrecht, 1974.
- Probability and Inductive Logic, Macmillan, New
York, 1970.
- Probability Theory, Prentice-Hall, Englewood Cliffs,
1969.
- Philosophy of Science, Macmillan, New York, 1968.
- (Editor, with Howard Smokler) Studies in Subjective
Probability, John Wiley, New York, 1964; second revised
edition, Krieger, Garden City, 1980.
- (Editor, with Ernest Nagel) Induction: Some Current
Issues, Wesleyan University Press, Middletown, 1963.
- Probability and the Logic of Rational Belief, Wesleyan
University Press, Middletown, 1961.
- Probability and Induction in the Cambridge School,
University Microfilms, Ann Arbor, 1956. (Dissertation.)
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Other Writings
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The Justification of Induction, Journal of Philosophy 53, 1956, 392-400.
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The Justification of Deduction, Review of Metaphysics 12, 1958, 19-25.
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R. B. Braithwaite on Probability and Induction, British Journal
for the Philosophy of Science
11, 1958, 203-220.
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Probability and Randomness I, (abstract) Journal of Symbolic
Logic 24, 1959, 316-317.
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Probability and Randomness II, (abstract) Journal of Symbolic
Logic 24, 1959, 317-318.
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Demonstrative Induction, Philosophy and Phenomenological Research 21, 1960, 80-92.
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Probability and Rationality, The Philosophical Quarterly 11, 196l, 3-10.
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A Modest Proposal Concerning Simplicity, The Philosophical Review 70, 1961, 196-199.
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Comments on Braithwaite's Paper, in Induction: Some Current Issues, Kyburg and Nagel (eds), Wesleyan University Press,
1963, 196-199.
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Probability and Randomness, Theoria 29, 1963, 27-55.
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A Further Note on Rationality and Consistency, Journal of Philosophy 60, 1963, 463-465.
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Recent Work in Inductive Logic, American Philosophical Quarterly 1, 1964, 249-298.
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Chaos and Cosmos, Illinois State University Journal 26, 1964, 3-51.
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Logical and Fiducial Probability, Bulletin of International Statistical
Institute 40, Proceedings on the 34'th Session,
Toronto University Press, Toronto, Canada, 1964, 884-901.
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Probability, Rationality, and a Rule of Detachment, Logic, Methodology
and Philosophy of Science II,
Bar-Hillel (Ed), 1964, 301-310.
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Discussion: Salmon's Paper, Philosophy of Science
32, 1965, 147-151.
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Symposium on Inductive Evidence, Americal Philosophical Quarterly 2, 1965, 274-276.
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Probability and Decision, Philosophy of Science
33, 1966, 250-261.
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The Rule of Detachment in Inductive Logic, in Lakatos (ed.) The
Problem of Inductive Logic,
North Holland, Amsterdam, 1968, 98-119.
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Bets and Beliefs, American Philosophical Quarterly 5, 1968, pp 54-63.
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(With W. Harper) The Jones Case, British Journal for the Philosophy
of Science 19, 1968, 247-257.
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Measurement and Mathematics, Journal of Philosophy
66, 1969, 29-42.
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Two World Views, Nous 4,
1970, 337-348.
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Conjunctivitis, in Swain (ed.) Induction, Acceptance and Rational
Belief, Reidel, 1970, 55-82.
-
More on Maximal Specificity, Philosophy of Science 37, 1970, pp 295-300.
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On a Certain Form of Philosophical Argument, American Philosophical
Quarterly 7, 1970, 229-237.
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Probability
and Informative Inference, in V. P. Godambe and D. A. Sprott (eds),
Foundations of Statistical Inference,
Holt, Rinehart, and Winston, Toronto, 1971, 82-107.
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Epistemological Probability, Synthese 23, 1971, 309-326.
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Review Article on Alfven, Worlds-Anti-worlds, Philosophical Forum
Supplement, 1972, S4-S10.
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Comment on a Paper by Suppes, in Leach, Butts, and Pearce (eds)
Science, Decision, and Value,
Reidel, 1974, 15--18.
-
Tyche e Athena, (in Rumanian) Bogdan (ed) Logicieni si Filosofi
Contemporani, Bucharest, 1974.
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Randomness, in Schaffner and Cohen (eds) Boston Studies in Philosophy
of Science XX, Reidel, Dordrecht, 1974, 137-149.
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Propensities and Probabilities, British Journal for the Philosophy
of Science 25, 1974, 358--375.
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The Uses of Probability and the Choice of a Reference Class, Minnesota
Studies in the Philosophy of Science
VI, Maxwell and Anderson (Eds) 1975, 262-294.
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Local and Global Induction, in Bogdan (ed) Local Induction, Reidel, Dordrecht, 1976, 191-215.
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Statistical Knowledge and Statistical Inference, in W. Harper and
C. Hooker (eds) Foundations of Probability, Statistical Inference,
and Statistical Theories in Science, Col II,Reidel, Dordrecht, 1976, 315-336.
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Comments on 14a1 in P. Masani (ed) Norbert Wienter: Collected
Works, MIT Press, Cambridge, 1976, p. 33.
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Comments on 14b1, 15a1, and 21a1, in P. Masani (ed) Norbert Wienter:
Collected Works, MIT Press,
Cambridge, 1976, 83--86.
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Chance, Journal of Philosophical Logic
5, 1976, 355-393.
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All Acceptable Generalizations Are Analytic, American Philosophical
Quarterly 14,
1977, 201-210.
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A Defense of Conventionalism, Nous 11, 1977, 75-95.
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Decisions, Conclusions, and Utilities, Synthese 37,
1977, 87-96.
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Randomness and the Right Reference Class, Journal of Philosophy
74, 1977, 501-520.
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Reply to Professor Freudenthal, Synthese
37, 1977, 493-498.
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An Interpolation Theorem for Inductive Logic, Journal of Philosophy 75, 1978, 93--98.
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Decision Theory and DNA Research, Torch Magazine
50, 1978, 15-20.
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Subjective Probability: Criticisms, Reflections, and Problems, Journal
of Philosophical Logic 7,
1978, 157-180.
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How to Make Up a Theory, Philosophical Review
87, 1978, 84-87.
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The Application of Formal Methods in Philosophy of Science, in Kyburg
and Asquith (eds) Current Research in Philosophy of Science, Philosophy of Science Association, East Lansing, 1979, 28-39.
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Direct Measurement, American Philosophical Quarterly
16, 1979, 259 -272.
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Tyche and Athena, Synthese
40, 1979, 415-438.
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Acts and Conditional Probabilities, Theory and Decision 12, 1980, 149-171.
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Inductive Logic and Experimental Design, in Cohen and Hesse (eds)
Applications of Inductive Logic,
Oxford University Press, Oxford, 1980, 80-91.
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Statistical Statements: Their Meaning, Acceptance, and Use, in Mellor
(ed) Science, Belief, and Behavior,
Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 1980, 161-177.
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Conditionalization, Journal of Philosophy 77, 1980, 98-114.
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Functional Architecture and Free Will, Behavior and Brain Science 3, 1980, 143-146.
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Leeds' Infernal Machine, Philosophy of Science
48, 1981, 92-94.
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Intuition, Competence, and Performance, Behavior and Brain Science 4, 1981, 341-342.
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Principle Investigation, Journal of Philosophy
78, 1981, 772-778.
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Reply, in Bogdan (ed), Henry E. Kyburg and Isaac Levi, Reidel, Dordrecht, 1982, 129-162.
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Self-Profile, in Bogdan (ed), Henry E. Kyburg and Isaac Levi, Reidel, Dordrecht, 1982, 5-54.
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The Deductive Model: Does It Have Instances? Earman (ed),Minnesota
Studies in the Philosophy of Science X, Minneapolis 1983, 299-312.
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Belief, Disposition, and Rationality, in Cauman et al (eds), How
Many Questions?, Hackett, Indianapolis, 1983, 57-79.
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Rational Belief, Behavior and Brain Science
6, 1983, 231--275.
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Recent Work in Inductive Logic, in Lucey and Tabor (eds), Recent
Work in Philosophy, Rowman and
Allanfield, Totowa, N.J. 1983, 89-150.
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The Reference Class, Philosophy of Science
50, 1983, pp 374-397.
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Knowledge and the Absolute, Behavior and Brain Science
6, 1983, 72-73.
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The Scope of Science, Rescher (ed), The Limits of Science, Univ. Presses of America, 1983, 53-60.
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Discussion: Levi and Petersen and Direct Inference, Philosophy
of Science 50, 1983, 630-634.
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The Role of Logic in Reason, Inference, and Decision, Behavior
and Brain Science 6,
1983, 262-271.
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Scientific and Philosophical Argument, Fetzer (ed) Principles
of Philosophical Reasoning,
1984, 131-150.
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The Logic of Statistical Reasoning, in Kotz and Johnson (eds.) Encyclopedia of
Statistics, John Wiley and Sons, 1985, 117-122.
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The Confirmation of Quantitative Laws, Philosophy of Science 52, 1985, 1-22.
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Another Reply to Leeds, Philosophical Studies 48,
1985, 145--148.
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Probability Intervals and Rational Norms, Behavior and Brain
Science 8 1985, pp. 73.
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The Logics of Evaluation in Basic and Clinical Science, in Schaffner
(ed) The Logic of Discovery and Diagnosis in Medicine,
University of California Press, Berkeley, 1986, 123-144.
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Intensive Grazing, New York Style, Farm Journal
1986, p. 17.
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Induction and Probability, Behavior and Brain Science 9, 1986, 660.
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Bayesian and Non-Bayesian Evidential Updating; A I Journal 31, 1987, 271-294.
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The Basic Bayesian Blunder, in I. MacNeill and G. Umphrey (eds)
Foundations of Statistical Inference,
D. Reidel, Dordrecht, 1987, 219-232.
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The Hobgoblin, The Monist
70, 1987, 141-151.
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Objective Probability, Levitt and Cheeseman (eds), Proceedings
of the Workshop Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence,
1987, 148-155.
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Objective Probabilities, McDermott (ed), IJCAI 87,
Morgan Kaufman, Los Altos, 1987, 902-904.
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Representing Knowledge and Evidence for Decision, B. Bouchon and
R. R. Yager (eds), Uncertainty in Knowledge-Based Systems,
Lecture Notes in Computer Science, Springer Verlag, Berlin, 1987, pp.30-40.
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Knowledge, Lemmer, J. F. and Kanal, L. N. (eds): Uncertainty
in Artificial Intelligence 2, North-Holland, Amsterdam 1988, p. 263-272.
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Higher Order Probabilities and Intervals, The International
Journal of Approximate Reasoning
2, 1988, 195-209.
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Addendum, AI Journal 36,
1988, pp. 265-266.
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Full Belief, Theory and Decision
25, 1988, 137-162.
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The Justification of Deduction in Science, in Grunbaum and Salmon
(eds), The Limitations of Deductivism,
University of California Press, Berkeley, 1988, pp. 61-94.
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Knowledge, Lemmer, J. F. and Kanal, L. N. (eds), Uncertainty
in Artificial Intelligence 2, North-Holland, Amsterdam 1988, p. 263-272.
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Liberty, License, and Reason, Computational Intelligence 4, 1988, 89-91.
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Powers, in Harper, William L,. and Skyrms, Brian, (eds),
Causation in Decision, Belief Chance, and Statistics, Kluwer, 1988, pp. 71-82.
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Cognition and Causality, Schiffer, Stephen, and Steele, Susan
(eds), Cognition and Representation,
Westview, Boulder, 1988, pp. 21-33.
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In Defense of Intervals, in Philippe Smets, Michael R. B. Clark,
Christine Froidevaux, and John Campbell (eds.) Uncertainty,
Conditionals, Non-Monotonicity, and Time,
1989, passim.
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Higher Order Probabilities, Kanal, Levitt, and Lemmer (eds),
Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence 3,, Elsevier Science Publishers, North
Holland, 1989, pp. 15-22.
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Convention, Confirmation, and Credibility, in Keith Lehrer and
Marjorie Clay (eds), Knowledge and Skepticism,
Westview Press, 1989, pp. 101-118.
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G. H. von Wright on the Logic of Conditions, in Schilpp and Hahn
(eds), The Philosophy of George Henrik von Wright,
Open Court, La Salle, Illinois, 1989, 77-94.
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Epistemological Relevance and Statistical Knowledge, in Schachter,
Levitt, Kanal, and Lemmer (eds),Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence 4, Elsevier Science Publishers, North Holland, 1990,
pp. 159-168.
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Probabilistic Inference and Non-Monotonic Inference, in Schachter,
Levitt, Kanal, and Lemmer (eds),Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence 4, Elsevier Science Publishers, North Holland, 1990,
pp. 319-326.
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Theories as Mere Conventions, Savage (ed), Scientific Theories Minnesota Studies in the Philosophy of Science XIV,
University of Minnesota Press, Minneapolis, 1990, 158-174.
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Probabilistic Inference and Probabilistic Reasoning, Philosophical
Topics: Philosophy of Science,
18, Lowell Nissen (ed), Universityof Arkansas, 1990,
pp.107-116.
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Uncertainty and the Conditioning of Beliefs, in George M. von
Furstenberg (ed), Acting Under Uncertainty: Multidisciplinary
Conceptions, Kluwer, Dordrecht, 1990, pp. 77-94.
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(with Fahiem Bacchus and Mariam Thalos) Against Conditionalization,
Synthese 85 1990, 475-506.
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Giving Up Certainties, PSA 1990, pp.333-347, Philosophy of Science
Association, East Lansing, 1991.
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Normative and Descriptive Elements in Knowledge Representation,
Rob Cummins and John Pollock (eds), Philosophy and AI,
MIT Press, Cambridge, 1991,
pp.129-140.
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A Two-Level system of Knowledge Representation Based on Evidential
Probability, Philosophical Studies
64, 1991, pp. 105-114.
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Evidential Probability, IJCAI-91: Proceedings, 1991, pp 1196-1202.
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Beyond Specificity, in B. Bouchon-Meunier, R. R. Yager, and L.
A. Zadeh (eds), Uncertainty in Knowledge Bases, Lecture Notes
in Computer Science, Springer Verlag, 1991, pp.204-212.
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Why Do We Need Foundations for Modelling Uncertainty? Uncertainty
in Artificial Intelligence, Proceedings,
1991, pp. 438-442.
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(with Bulent Murtezaoglu) A Modification to Evidential Probability,
Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence, Proceedings,
1991, pp. 228-231.
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(with John Lemmer) Conditions for the Existence of Belief Functions
Corresponding to Intervals of Belief, AAAI-91, Procedings,
1991, pp. 488-493.
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Measuring Errors of Measurement, in C. Wade Savage and Philip
Ehrlich (eds), The Nature and Function of Measurement,
Lawrence Erlbaum Associates, New Jersey, 1992, pp.75-92.
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Getting Fancy with Uncertainty, Synthese
90, No. 2, 1992, pp. 189-204.
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(with Michael Pittarelli) Some Problems for Convex Bayesians,
UAI-92, Proceedings, pp. 149-154.
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Semantics for Probabilistic Inference, UAI-92, Proceedings, pp.
142-148.
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Peirce and Statistics, Charles S. Peirce and the Philosophy
of Science, Moore (ed), University of Alabama Press, 1993, 130-138.
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The Evidence of Your Own Eyes, Minds and Machines, 3, 1993, pp. 201-218.
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The Scope of Bayesian Reasoning, PSA-92,
Vol II, Philosophy of Science Association, 1993, pp. 139-152.
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Just Lucky, I guess, Falling in Love with Wisdom, Karnos and Shoemaker (eds) Oxford 1993, pp. 18-21.
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Uncertainty Logics, in Gabbay, Hogger, and Robinson (eds) Handbook
of Logic in Artificial Intelligence,
Oxford University Press, 1994, pp. 397-438.
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Believing on the Basis of Evidence, Computational Intelligence 10, 1994, pp. 3-21, 107-115 (target
Article) .
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'Fahiem Bacchus: Representing and Reasoning with Probabilistic
Knowledge', Minds and Machines
4, 1994, pp 81-93. (review article)
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Semantics for Uncertain Inference Based on Statistical Knowledge,
in Mathematical Models for Handling Partial Knowledge in Artificial
Intelligence, G. Coletti, Dubois, and Scozzafava (eds) Plenum Press,
New York, 1995; pp. 65-82.
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How to Settle an Argument, in Android Epistemology, Ford, Glymour, and Hayes (eds), AAAI Press, 1995, pp. 267-278.
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Keynes as a Philosopher,in New Perspectives
on Keynes, Cottrell and Lawlor
(eds), Duke University Press, Durham and London, 1995, pp. 7-32.
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Dennett's Beer, in Ken Ford and Zenon Pylyshyn (eds). The Robot's
Dilemma, Ablex, Norwood N.J. 1996, pp. 49-60.
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(with Michael Pittarelli) Set-Based Bayesianism, IEEE Transactions
on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics,
26, 1996, pp. 324-339.
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John B. Davis's Keynes' Philosophical Development, Economics
and Philosophy 12, 1996, pp. 230-234.
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Probabilistic Fallacies, Behavior and Brain Science
19, 1996, p. 31.
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Uncertain Inference and Uncertain Conclusions, UAI-96,
Eric Horvitz and Finn Jensen (eds), Morgan Kaufman, San Francisco,
1996, pp. 365-372.
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Bayesian Inference and Inductive Inference, (abstract) in ISIS:
Information, Statistics and Induction in Science,
Dowe, Korb, and Oliver (eds), World Scientific, Singapore, 1996,
p. 6.
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Combinatorial Semantics: Semantics for frequent validity, Computational
Intelligence 13, 1997, pp. 215-257.
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Quantities, Magnitudes, and Numbers, Philosophy of Science, 64, 1997, pp. 377-410.
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Carnap,
Cambridge Dictionary of Philosophy,
Cambridge University Press, 1997.
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The Rule of Adjunction and Reasonable Inference, Journal of
Philosophy 94, 1997 pp 109-125.
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Expertise and Context in Uncertain Inference, in D. Hoffman and
Ken Ford (eds), Expertise in Context
, Feltovich, Ford, Hoffman (eds) AAAI/MIT Press, 1997, pp. 499-514.
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Thinking about Reasoning about Knowledge, Review Article, Minds
and Machines 7, 1997, pp. 103-112.
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Probabilistic Acceptance, Uncertainty In Artificial Intelligence, Dan Geiger and Prakash Shenoy, eds. Morgan Kaufman,
1997. pp 326-333.
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Families of Probabilities, in Philippe Smets and Dov Gabbay,
Handbook of Defeasible Reasoning and Uncertainty Management Systems,
ed., 1998, pp. 227-246.
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Epistemology and Computing, in The Digital Phoenix,
T. Bynum and J. Moor (eds), Oxford University Press, 1998, pp.
37-47.
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Interval Valued Probabilities, in electronic collection, 1998:
http:ensmain.rug.ac.be/~ipp
Logic and the Foundations
of Statistical Inference, Behavior and Brain Science 21, 1998, pp. 208-209.
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Approximate Validity, in Learning and Reasoning with Complex
Representations, pp 61-77, Springer, edited by G. Antoniou. 1999.
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(with C. M. Teng) Statistical
Inference as Default Reasoning, International Journal of Pattern
Recognition and Artificial Intelligence 13, No. 2, 1999, pp 267-283.
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'Nonmonotonic Reasoning,
by Grigoris Antoniou,' The Knowledge Engineering Review
14, 1999, pp 295-296.
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(with C. M. Teng) Choosing Among Interpretations of Probability,
In Proceedings, UAI-99.
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The Worlds
of Dr. Chow, Behavior and Brain Science ,1999.
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'Joseph B. Kadane, Mark J. Schervish, and Teddy Seidenfeld:
Rethinking the Foundations of Statistics', Journal of Philosophy
97, 2000, pp. 677-680.
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Probable Inference versus Probable Conclusions, in Fetzer
(ed.), Science, Explanation, and Rationality, Oxford University
Press, 2000, pp 77—90.
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The Dutch Book Argument and Rational
Belief, Proceedings of the PSA, 2000, pp.
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Probability as
a Guide in Life, The Monist,
84, 2001, pp.135-152.
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Editor, with Mariam Thalos, of a special issue
of The Monist. 84, 2001.
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Real Logic is Nonmonotonic, Minds and Machines 11,
2001, pp 577-595
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Statistical Considerations
in Learning from Data, 2001 IEEE International Conference
on Data Mining, November 2001, Cercone, Nick and Lin, T. Y. and
Wu, Xingdong, eds.
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(with C. M. Teng) Choosing
among Approaches to Probability, New Studies in Exact Philosophy:
Logic, Mathematics and Science,
Bryson Brown and John Woods, Eds., Oxford University Press, 2001,
pp. 19-34.
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(with C. M. Teng) Evaluating Interpretations of Probability
in the Face of Drifts in Proceedings of the Pacific Rim AI
Conference, 2002
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Induction and Consistency in R. Elio, ed., Common Sense,
Reasoning, and Rationality, Oxford University Press, 2002, pp.
78-92.
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Optimism, Pessimism, and Objectivity, LOFTS, ICER, July 2002
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(with C. M. Teng) Random Sampling and Uncertain Inference,
proceedings, Information Processing and the Management of Uncertainty,
Annecy, 2002, 1429-1436.
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proceedings of WoLLIC, Brazil, 2002.
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Don't take Unnecessary Chances, Synthese
132, 2002, pp. 9-26.
Semantics for Interval Probabilities, Proceedings of FLAIRS, eds.
Haller, Susan and Simmons, Gene, 2002, pp 253-257.
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Don't Take Unnecessary Chances, Probability
is the Very Guide of Life, Kyburg and Thalos, eds.Open Court, 2003, pp. 277-294.
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Probability as a Guide in Life, Probability
is the Very Guide of Life, Kyburg and Thalos, eds.Open Court, 2003, pp 135-150.
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Probabilistic
Epistemology, American Epistemology,
Ed. Quenten Smith., forthcoming.
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Keynes on Probability,
University of Bologna, forthcoming.
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The Ways of Our Errors,
in Essays in Honor of Susan Haack, forthcoming.
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Are There Degrees
of Belief? forthcoming, Journal of Applied logic.
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